Updated 10:29 Central Time August 19, 2020.
Pacific Storm Hurricane Genevieve Category 3 Storm
Hurricane Genevieve has maximum sustained winds at 130 mph ( Km/h) and is expected to affect the Baja Peninsula of Mexico. Currently a Category 3 storm it is just below a Category (sustained winds of 131 to 155 mph or 211 – 250 km/h).
While there are a couple of possible tropical waves in the Atlantic, currently the only hurricane is in the Pacific basin at this time.
Movement Northwest May Spare Much of Baja Peninsula
Currently the tip of the Baja Peninsula is under Tropical Storm Warnings and Watch (further north). Strong winds and rain can be expected in this area. The storm appears to be moving out further into the Pacific Ocean and may present little damage to the Baja Coast.
NHC tropical cyclone forecast tracks can be in error. This forecast uncertainty is conveyed by the track forecast “cone”, the solid white and stippled white areas in the graphic. The solid white area depicts the track forecast uncertainty for days 1-3 of the forecast, while the stippled area depicts the uncertainty on days 4-5. Historical data indicate that the entire 5-day path of the center of the tropical cyclone will remain within the cone about 60-70% of the time.
Updated location of Hurricane Genevieve with trailing area of low pressure. This area has a 50% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 5 days. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5
Boating and Shipping
Currently the biggest danger is to boating and shipping in the area and the wind field image from NOAA shows the area of greatest danger currently. Based on this Baja would see max winds of roughly 40 to 50 mph (64 – 80 km/h)
Hurricane Genevieve Tropical Storm Force Wind Speed Probabilities
Stay tuned to National-Hurricane-Center.org for all your tropical weather news!