Ernesto

News Feeds:

NHC Gulf of Mexico Offshore Waters Forecast
Posted on Wednesday February 01, 2023


000
FZNT24 KNHC 012040
OFFNT4

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

GMZ001-020845-
Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.SYNOPSIS...A low pressure has developed along a frontal boundary
over the NW Gulf near 27N95W. This system will move toward SE
Louisiana on Thu, dragging the associated cold front across the
Gulf waters. The front will reach from the Florida Big Bend to
the central Bay of Campeche by early Fri morning, and move across
the far SE Gulf and the Yucatan Channel by early Sat morning.
Fresh to strong northerly winds will follow the front, reaching
gale force offshore Veracruz, Mexico on Fri. Seas are forecast to
build to 14-16 ft over the SW Gulf with the strongest winds.
Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish from W to E across
the basin Fri night into Sat as high pressure builds over the
region.

$$

GMZ040-020845-
NW Gulf including Stetson Bank-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.THU...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.SAT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.

$$

GMZ041-020845-
SW Louisiana Offshore Waters including Flower Garden Bank Marine
Sanctuary-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.THU...S winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to SW to W in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.FRI...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming
variable less than 5 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.SUN...W of 92W, variable winds less than 5 kt. E of 92W,
variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming N to NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W of 92W, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming
SE 10 kt late. E of 92W, NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas
4 ft.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

$$

GMZ056-020845-
N Central Gulf Offshore Waters-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
.THU...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to W to NW
15 to 20 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.FRI...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.SUN...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

GMZ057-020845-
NE Gulf N of 26N E of 87W-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
.THU...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.FRI...W winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to NW to N in the
afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 9 ft.
.SAT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.SUN...W of 85W, E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N in the
afternoon. E of 85W, E winds 10 to 15 kt in the morning,
becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

$$

GMZ058-020845-
W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.THU...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 10 ft.
.FRI...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 11 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 10 ft.
.SAT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.

$$

GMZ045-020845-
W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 91W and 94W-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to NW to N 20 to
25 kt late. Seas 7 to 9 ft.
.FRI...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 10 ft.
.SAT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming
variable less than 5 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.SUN...S of 24N, N winds 10 kt. N of 24N, variable winds less
than 5 kt, becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

$$

GMZ046-020845-
Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 91W-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt, shifting to S to SW late.
Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.FRI...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.SUN...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

GMZ047-020845-
SE Gulf from 22N to 26N E of 87W including Straits of Florida-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.THU...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S of 24N, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NW
10 kt in the afternoon. N of 24N, SW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting
to NW 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 9 ft.
.SAT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 8 ft.
.SUN...S of 24N, variable less than 5 kt. Winds E to SE winds
10 kt in the morning. N of 24N, SW to W winds in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

GMZ048-020845-
SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

...GALE WARNING...
...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...

.TONIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.THU...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt
late. Seas 9 to 11 ft. Scattered showers.
.FRI...NW to N winds 30 to 35 kt S of 21N W of 95W, and N 20 to
30 kt elsewhere. Seas 12 to 16 ft. Scattered showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.SAT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable
less than 5 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.SUN...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming N to NE 10 kt in
the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

GMZ049-020845-
Central Bay of Campeche-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S of 20N, N winds 10 to 15 kt. N of 20N, variable
winds less than 5 kt, becoming N 15 kt late. Seas
4 ft, building to 8 ft late.
.FRI...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft, building to 13 ft in the
afternoon. Scattered showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 14 ft.
.SAT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.SUN...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

GMZ050-020845-
E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank-
340 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to E to SE late. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W of 90W, N winds 20 to 25 kt. E of 90W, variable winds
less than 5 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 to 9 ft. Scattered showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 11 ft W of
90W, and 7 to 8 ft E of 90W.
.SAT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

$$

Forecaster GR

Tropical Storm Ernesto has gradually weakened down to a tropical depression as it has moved into inland Mexico, killing 7 people in its wake.  It has been raining in the flood-prone areas of Mexico’s southern Gulf region where Ernesto had been situated at.  In Veracruz state, a teenage girl who had been riding in a car had been killed early Friday morning when she had been caught in a river current and a 62-year old man had been struck by lightning.  According to the Veracruz state civil protection department in Mexico, 3 members of a family had died Thursday night at a time when strong winds caused a tree to fall on their car.  The deceased included an 8-year old child, his mother and his 38-year old father.

In neighboring Tabasco state, two fishermen had been drowned as Ernesto had passed through the state, according to Tabasco state Governor Andres Granier in a meeting with reporters.  The Governor had said that Ernesto’s winds had ripped apart rooftops from homes in the area.  However at a time when many of the residents had refused to evacuate in the fear of losing their properties, “People have chosen to stay in their homes and we are helping them,”  he said.

Tropical Storm Ernesto had been spotted ashore early Thursday near the waters where oil rigs are operated upon by the state oil company in the region of the southern part of Gulf of Mexico.  As a result, the government has closed the port of Veracruz as well as the smaller ports of Coatzacoalcos and Alvarado.

According to the National Hurricane Center of the US, Ernesto had sustained winds that decreased to 35 mph by early Friday.  Ernesto has continued to weaken but according to the center, it can continue to dole out rainfall as it dissipates.